1. Perspective And Summary
15A. Phasing Propositions and Their Evidence on International Conflict
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In the appendices to Chapters 15-18 of this Vol. 4: War, Power, Peace, 54 propositions from the international social field theory were presented. These were divided into four types and evaluated with regard to 714 ratings based on the several hundred empirical studies listed in Appendix I and Appendix III.
Table 19A.1 summarizes the total ratings for the four types of propositions and provides a grand total. Several aspects of this summary are noteworthy.
Finally, Table 19A.2 summarizes the evaluations of each of the 54 propositions. As can be seen, no proposition is evaluated as ambiguous or unsupported by the evidence. That is, no proposition is rejected. On half the propositions I concluded that the evidence supported them; on an additional 19 (35%), I concluded that the evidence was strongly supportive.
In total, then, the propositions appear empirically and scientifically sound. Moreover, because they were either derived from the social field theory or developed within this field orientation toward international conflict, their support also gives credibility to the theory.
Of course, all this evidence on field theory is circumstantial. But
Some circumstantial evidence is very strong, as when you find a trout in the milk.
---- Thoreau, Journal, November 11, 1854
* Scanned from Appendix 19A in R.J. Rummel, War, Power, Peace, 1979. For full reference to the book and the list of its contents in hypertext, click book. Typographical errors have been corrected, clarifications added, and style updated.